On November 23, the Government of Alberta announced its intention to create a capacity market within Alberta’s wholesale electricity market, and released a detailed Alberta Electricity System Operator recommendation paper titled Alberta’s Wholesale Electricity Market Transition Recommendation that provides background and support for the changes being made.
The Electricity Market Transition Report can be found here.
Power Advisory’s summary and commentary on the Government of Alberta announcements is available below.
The following day, the Government announced it had concluded agreements with the coal-fired generation facility owners to cease operation by 2030. These developments are part of fundamentally defining a different path going forward for Alberta’s electricity sector than the one it has been following for almost the past 20 years.
The Coal-Fired Generation Agreement Announcement can be found here.
Power Advisory’s summary and commentary on the Capacity Market Recommendation report is available below.
Transmission developers are moving quickly to prepare to participate in the forthcoming Massachusetts Clean Generation RFP including Anbaric/National Grid (Vermont Green Line) and Emera (Atlantic Link), as the recently released working schedule indicates a proposal submission deadline of June 2, 2017.
For an update on these transmission projects and the full Mass. Clean Energy Generation RFP schedule view the client note here.
The various electric distribution companies and state agencies in Massachusetts, Connecticut and Rhode Island announced the results of the Clean Energy RFP Tuesday, indicating that contracts were being negotiated with six developers for about 460 MW. The results are surprising as Power Advisory’s summary shows.
Please click here for Power Advisory’s summary of the Clean Energy RFP
The government of Saskatchewan denied a permit for a 177-MW wind power facility proposed by Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp. The project was proposed for the Chaplin area, about 200 km west of Regina in the southwest corner of the province. The key rationale for denying the permit was the danger posed to migratory birds. The Chaplin area is home to a shorebird sanctuary and is a major migratory route. Algonquin was initially awarded a contract in 2012 for the facility under an RFP held by SaskPower, and has stated that it will now be seeking to find an alternative site for the development.
The Chaplin Wind Project was rejected after being the first to undergo a provincial environmental assessment. The provincial government has also released new guidelines for the location of wind power projects. Wind farms will have to be located more than five kilometers from environmentally sensitive areas like parks, ecological reserves and some of the province’s biggest rivers. In effect, the province has developed an exclusion zone that highlights areas wind cannot be developed, but locating outside the exclusion zone does not negate the requirement to undergo site assessments but is intended to streamline the approval process.
The development of clear siting guidelines for Saskatchewan wind projects is of particular importance given the ambitious goals the province has announced. The province is expected to put out an RFP for about 200 MW of wind capacity in early 2017, and by 2030 expects to add about 1,600 MW to 1,800 MW of wind capacity by 2030. These totals are incremental to the Algonquin facility.
Power Advisory would welcome the opportunity to assist clients evaluate opportunities offered by participating in SaskPower’s forthcoming Wind RFP. We offer a broad understanding of Saskatchewan’s electricity sector and critical success factors in power supply RFPs.
Travis Lusney, Director at Power Advisory LLC (Power Advisory), was retained to be the technical lead for a consortium of over 20 potential Large Renewable Procurement (LRP) II participants representing different technology types (e.g., solar generation, on-shore wind generation, hydroelectric generation, and bioenergy).
As the technical lead, Power Advisory developed a new connection assessment process for the LRP II process and presented the proposed process with participating entities, including industry associations (i.e., Canadian Wind Association (CanWEA), Canadian Solar Industries Association (CanSIA), Ontario Waterpower Association (OWA), etc.). Power Advisory built consensus within the consortium by preparing technical briefings, leading group discussions and clearly understanding and incorporating individual entity’s needs. The draft consortium positions were presented to the Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO), who is overseeing the LRP II procurement and is the integrated system planner for Ontario.
Power Advisory was well positioned to be the technical lead for potential LRP II participants. Travis Lusney is a former transmission power system planner and was a lead on the initial development of the Transmission Availability Test (TAT) and Distribution Availability Test (DAT), the connection assessment processes first used in the Feed-In Tariff (FIT) program, and subsequently used in the LRP I process. Since joining Power Advisory, Travis has been an essential resource for a wide variety of clients seeking an understanding of the Ontario power system and developing a strategy for project development. Travis’ deep knowledge of the Ontario power system and extensive understanding of the opportunities and shortcomings of connection capability are valuable resources for leading changes to the LRP II connection assessment process.
Power Advisory has a history of successfully leading and advising consortium of developers on a wide range of electricity sector matters. Power Advisory successfully negotiated changes to the IESO market rules and IESO contracts related to integration of variable transmission connected renewable generation into the IESO electricity market.
For further information, please contact Travis at firstname.lastname@example.org
The Alberta Government has declared policy direction to: 1) establish a price on carbon; 2) phase out coal-fired generation by 2030; and 3) accelerate renewable generation developments. These are the key policies that will impact Alberta’s wholesale energy market within the Alberta Government’s broader Climate Leadership Plan.
Power Advisory Summary and Preliminary Commentary can be found in our Reports Section (click here)
On February 8, 2016, ISO-NE will hold is tenth Forward Capacity Auction (FCA). Power Advisory has just finalized its forecast of FCA #10 prices and released its public review of the Forward Capacity Market (FCM) fundamentals that will drive FCA prices. With significantly higher prices in FCA #8 and 9, the market is responding with proposals for numerous new gas plants, ranging from 100-MW combustion turbines to 900-MW combined cycle plants. Existing generators are working to squeeze a few more MWs out of their equipment, and owners of older plants are choosing to keep them in service rather than retire them. On the other hand, the Pay for Performance program is influencing some suppliers to reduce their participation in the auction, particularly where participation in the FCM has an opportunity cost.
Our public review of FCA #10 is available upon request by contacting John Dalton at email@example.com
The IESO has recently published a planning update for Ontario as part of their Non-Utility Generator (NUG) framework assessment report. Power Advisory has provided commentary on the IESO planning update in our Reports Section and has amended our Ontario Generation Outlook Report.
Power Advisory LLC Senior Consultant Travis Lusney has an editorial in the new edition of IPPSO FACTO, an Ontario electricity sector magazine published by the Association of Power Producers of Ontario (APPrO).
The editorial discusses the drawbacks in the current approach to assessing connection capability in the LRP I process and provides an outline of an alternative pre-submission connection assessment approach. The alternative approach is based on feedback provided by Power Advisory at the December 2, 2014 Qualified Applicant consultation meeting sponsored by the OPA.
Please click here to read the full editorial.
Power Advisory has published an assessment of the opportunities in the recently released IESO Energy Storage RFP. See our Reports section for details.